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Summer Streamflows Forecast to Be Well Below Average
June 6, 2007
For More Information:
Roy Kaiser, 406-587-6991
Bozeman-- Remaining mountain snowpack statewide as measured by the Natural
Resources Conservation Service (NRCS) on June 1 was 40 percent of average and 60
percent of snowpack measured on that date last year.
Snowpack west of the Continental Divide was 56 percent of average and 72
percent of last year. Snowpack east of the Divide was 32 percent of average and
64 percent of last year. Mountain precipitation received during May in the
Columbia River Basin was 98 percent of average; Missouri River Basin was 90
percent of average; and Yellowstone River Basin was 89 percent of average.
“Most rivers and streams have reached their primary snowmelt peaks for this
year and will not crest higher without additional precipitation,” said Roy
Kaiser, NRCS water supply specialist.
Streamflow forecasts statewide average 43 to 57 percent and are generally
near or below those of last year. West of the Continental Divide, streamflow
forecasts average 57 to 68 percent and east of the Divide average 33 to 48
percent.
“June and July rain will be the key to late spring and summer flows,” said
Kaiser. “Unregulated streams will have the most adverse affects without good
rainfall.”
Below are averaged river basin streamflow forecast summaries for the period
June 1 through July 31. These forecasts do not account for well below average
(70 percent or less) or well above average (130 percent of more) snowmelt or
rain.
Streamflow Forecasts
| River Basin |
June-July This Year Percent of Average |
June-July Last Year Percent of Average |
| Columbia |
57 to 68 |
63 to 73 |
| --Kootenai |
74 to 86 |
64 to 76 |
| --Flathead |
67 to 75 |
66 to 76 |
| --Upper Clark Fork |
54 to 68 |
54 to 66 |
| --Bitterroot |
37 to 47 |
69 to 79 |
| --Lower Clark Fork |
48 to 57 |
67 to 76 |
| Missouri |
30 to 47 |
50 to 71 |
| --Jefferson |
16 to 35 |
48 to 68 |
| --Madison |
45 to 53 |
77 to 86 |
| --Gallatin |
42 to 53 |
69 to 82 |
| --Missouri Mainstem |
28 to 39 |
73 to 82 |
| --Smith-Judith-Musselshell |
25 to 44 |
39 to 66 |
| --Sun-Teton-Marias |
41 to 57 |
35 to 53 |
| St. Mary |
69 to 86 |
67 to 84 |
| Yellowstone |
40 to 54 |
57 to 70 |
| --Upper Yellowstone |
38 to 53 |
66 to 79 |
| --Lower Yellowstone |
44 to 57 |
44 to 57 |
| Statewide |
43 to 57 |
56 to 72 |
NOTE: The May-July Last Year Percent of Average column above is what was
forecast last year on June 1, not what actually occurred.
The NRCS snow survey and water supply forecast program provides detailed snow
water content, streamflow forecast, and climate information for Montana by
evaluating data collected by a series of manual and automated snow survey sites
located in the mountains of the state. Visit the NRCS website at http://www.mt.nrcs.usda.gov/snow/
for more information.
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